PGSS 1999 Go Fish tournament results

1.rdore Richard Dore
2.zanderso Zach Anderson, Harold Hsiung
3.nck Nathan Keim
4.osoong Oliver Soong
5.smarx Steve Marx
6.mim Mike Mandel
7.seltzer2 Andrew Chi, Michelle Kinder, Mike Seltzer
8.and_lose_to Shawn Badlani, Brian O'Kelly
9.Grrr Jeremy Davidson, Andrew Grier, Eric Wang
10.Heron Ali Huff, Harini Raghupathi, Erin Tyndall
11.stupid Colin Dawson, Pat Moeller, Joy Tsai
12.pal Laura Babcock, Pius Uzamere, Ali Yurkovic
12.happy_dance Helen Curry, Jess Reynolds, Anne Warner
14.Rosswell Ross Burton
15.krunch Onny Chatterjee, Zach Firth, Saurabh Sanghvi
16.HeyBaby Ruth Carlitz, Susie James, Bronwyn Uber
16.ACTony D'Amelio, Christine Edmonds

And now, to explain the method...

The qualifiers

Before qualifying teams, I first fixed all the programs so that they did not incur errors.

To qualify teams, I played each of the 39 entries against Spot 100 times. A team received a point when they beat Spot and half a point when they tied. The scores leveled out at 29 points; any team scoring above 30 points, therefore, qualifies for the finals.

In my experience, some players who do very poorly with this test still do very well against other (non-random) players. Thus I draw the line fairly low. This has the disadvantage of qualifying a couple of teams that really have a strategy solidly in Level 1, but I don't make that judgement for the tournament.

Results from the qualifiers:
W/L/T score team members
81/ 8/1186.5nck Nathan Keim
60/28/1266.0zanderso Zach Anderson, Harold Hsiung
55/32/1362.5and_lose_to Shawn Badlani, Brian O'Kelly
56/33/1161.5osoong Oliver Soong
54/32/1461.0rdore Richard Dore
49/33/1858.0mim Mike Mandel
47/41/1253.0Grrr Jeremy Davidson, Andrew Grier, Eric Wang
40/47/1346.5Rosswell Ross Burton
36/45/1945.5seltzer2 Andrew Chi, Michelle Kinder, Mike Seltzer
32/58/1037.0Heron Ali Huff, Harini Raghupathi, Erin Tyndall
30/63/ 733.5happy_dance Helen Curry, Jess Reynolds, Anne Warner
29/65/ 633.0HeyBaby Ruth Carlitz, Susie James, Bronwyn Uber
29/65/ 633.0stupid Colin Dawson, Pat Moeller, Joy Tsai
28/65/ 731.5pal Laura Babcock, Pius Uzamere, Ali Yurkovic
25/62/1331.5krunch Onny Chatterjee, Zach Firth, Saurabh Sanghvi
25/64/1130.5ACTony D'Amelio, Christine Edmonds

Finals

To get the final results, each player played each other 200 times. Then I look closely at the results and try to find an ordering that makes sense. From there I had the top six players play each other another 2000 times. Where the results were close, I added another 3000 games to make sure of the numbers. The top two, since they were quite close, played each other another 5000 times, for a total of more than 10200 games.

From there, I ranked the players carefully. This requires some eyeball judgement, since players do not always fall neatly into a linear ranking. My judgements in this arena are final.

The following table reports the results. The percentage of points won by a player has been multiplied by 2000, so that for each pair, the player winning at least half the points has a four-digit score, and players winning less has a three-digit score.

rdozannckososmaalibobmimselandGrrHerstupalhapRoskruHey
rdore10181072105810661035118010781210115013801385133510801115122012051260
zanderso 9821443 97911251110115511021195129011851505145517551645130013451710
nck 928 557107411681030118511841430141514501695168017351710110014051740
osoong 9421021 926 9741004113011841160117511301175139514201485114511701605
smarx 934 875 83210261050122011851385147015001675161516901735100511801680
alice 965 890 970 996 950125512151470148015101625176517451750101511451700
bob 820 845 815 870 780 74512001300130013601625170017701705115513001825
mim 922 898 816 816 815 785 8001110113010951235146014551530118511901400
seltzer2 790 805 570 840 615 530 700 890105011551350134015051645105012151410
and_lose_to 850 710 585 825 530 520 700 870 95011951350136515351590107012501510
Grrr 620 815 550 870 500 490 640 905 845 8051270145013851540 98511901530
Heron 615 495 305 825 325 375 375 765 650 650 730117011651315101010351200
stupid 665 545 320 605 385 235 300 540 660 635 550 83011651130110010901195
pal 920 245 265 580 310 255 230 545 495 465 615 835 8351005124010401185
happy_dance 885 355 290 515 265 250 295 470 355 410 460 685 870 995114010951015
Rosswell 780 700 900 855 995 985 845 815 950 9301015 990 900 760 860 9101010
krunch 795 655 595 830 820 855 700 810 785 750 810 965 910 960 9051090 945
HeyBaby 740 290 260 395 320 300 175 600 590 490 470 800 805 815 985 9901055